Elizabethtown 16 - 4
Conf = Middle Atlantic Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Mike Faith

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      Corr  
                                                          10
 226 H Salisbury              Capital       (19- 3, 86.7)  6  6-16      0.00
 305 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 4, 87.1)  1  6-11      0.00
 309 N Drew                   Landmark      (11- 8, 81.2)    13- 8      0.00
 309 N Roanoke                Old Dominion  (12- 8, 79.6)    15-11      0.00
 319 A Misericordia           Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 59.0)    19- 2      0.00
 324 H Eastern                Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 71.4)    19-10      0.00
 326 H FDU-Florham            Middle Atlant (13- 7, 74.6)    15- 5      0.00
 330 A Arcadia                Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 66.1)    19- 3      0.00
 402 A Manhattanville         Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 67.5)    18- 6      0.00
 406 H Alvernia               Middle Atlant (11- 8, 73.1)    21- 8      0.00
 409 A Widener                Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 67.7)    18- 5      0.00
 414 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (18- 2, 84.1) 13  9-11      0.00
 416 H King's                 Middle Atlant ( 6- 9, 63.1)    19- 3      0.00
 419 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 2-14, 75.5)     9- 7      0.00
 421 A Lycoming               Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 64.6)    18- 6      0.00
 426 H Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 8- 8, 68.3)    19- 4      0.00
 428 A Stevenson              Capital       (10- 7, 79.1)     9- 4      0.00
 430 A Wilkes                 Middle Atlant ( 3-14, 56.7)    16- 2      0.00
 505 H FDU-Florham            Middle Atlant (13- 7, 74.6)    15- 6      0.00
 507 A Messiah                Middle Atlant (18- 2, 84.1) 13  6-16      0.00
                                                                       -----
                                                                        0.00

                                                                                

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   226 H Salisbury               6-16     -10    -4 --   -0.98  -5.66       
   305 A Gettysburg              6-11      -5    -6       0.98   1.76       
   309 N Drew                   13- 8       5     0 ++   -0.00   4.84       
   309 N Roanoke                15-11       4     1 +    -0.00   2.29       
   319 A Misericordia           19- 2      17    21       0.98   0.00       
   324 H Eastern                19-10       9    10      -0.98  -1.00       
   326 H FDU-Florham            15- 5      10     7 +    -0.98   2.31       
   330 A Arcadia                19- 3      16    14       0.98   0.00       
   402 A Manhattanville         18- 6      12    12       0.98   0.00       
   406 H Alvernia               21- 8      13     9      -0.98   0.76       
   409 A Widener                18- 5      13    12       0.98   0.00       
   414 H Messiah                 9-11      -2    -1      -0.98  -0.27       
   416 H King's                 19- 3      16    19      -0.98   0.00       
   419 A McDaniel                9- 7       2     4 -     0.98  -2.89       
   421 A Lycoming               18- 6      12    15       0.98   0.00       
   426 H Lebanon Valley         19- 4      15    13      -0.98   0.00       
   428 A Stevenson               9- 4       5     1 +     0.98   3.72       
   430 A Wilkes                 16- 2      14    23       0.98   0.00       
   505 H FDU-Florham            15- 6       9     7      -0.98   1.31       
   507 A Messiah                 6-16     -10    -3 ---   0.98  -6.31       


   10 Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score        
   226 A Salisbury               6-16   
   319 H Misericordia           19- 2   
   326 A FDU-Florham            15- 5   
   330 H Arcadia                19- 3   
   402 H Manhattanville         18- 6   
   406 A Alvernia               21- 8   
   409 H Widener                18- 5   
   416 A King's                 19- 3   
   421 H Lycoming               18- 6   
   426 A Lebanon Valley         19- 4   
   430 H Wilkes                 16- 2   
   507 H Messiah                 6-16   

    10  goal correction =  0.78816307

 LOCAL RATING

 Local TSI Rating........... 99.80   Local TSI Rank.............    28
 Local Poll Vote............   55.   Local Poll Rank............    18
 Local Power Rating......... 81.34   Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating........... 73.21   Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating...........  0.61   Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Local Trend Rating.........  1.00   Local Trend Rank...........    18
 Local Quality Win Rating...  0.00   Local Quality Win Rank.....    62
 Local W-L Pct Rating....... 80.00   Local W-L Pct Rank.........    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 16- 4   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  0- 1   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  0- 2   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  0- 4   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  2- 1   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3