Alvernia 11 - 8
Conf = Middle Atlantic Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Crusaders Coach = Kelly McCloskey

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      Corr  
                                                          10
 302 A Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 8- 8, 68.3)    17- 8      0.00
 307 N Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 4-10, 59.4)    18- 2      0.00
 308 N Wesley                 Capital       ( 6-11, 63.8)    20- 9      0.00
 315 H Gwynedd-Mercy          CSAC          (11- 8, 65.0)    15- 5      0.00
 319 H Lycoming               Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 64.6)    19- 5      0.00
 324 A Arcadia                Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 66.1)    21-10      0.00
 326 A King's                 Middle Atlant ( 6- 9, 63.1)    19- 8      0.00
 330 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (18- 2, 84.1) 13 10-19      0.00
 402 H Wilkes                 Middle Atlant ( 3-14, 56.7)    16- 3      0.00
 406 A Elizabethtown          Middle Atlant (16- 4, 81.3) 18  8-21      0.00
 409 H Misericordia           Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 59.0)    17- 7      0.00
 413 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 4, 87.1)  1  1-18      0.00
 416 A Manhattanville         Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 67.5)    14-15 3o   0.00
 421 H FDU-Florham            Middle Atlant (13- 7, 74.6)     9-10      0.00
 426 H Eastern                Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 71.4)    22-16      0.00
 429 A Widener                Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 67.7)    11-12      0.00
 503 H Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 8- 8, 68.3)    19- 6      0.00
 505 A Messiah                Middle Atlant (18- 2, 84.1) 13  5-23      0.00
 511 H Washington & Jefferson Independent   (13- 4, 72.1)    10-12      0.00
                                                                       -----
                                                                        0.00

                                                                                

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   302 A Lebanon Valley         17- 8       9     3 ++    0.98   5.24       
   307 N Mount Saint Mary       18- 2      16    13      -0.00   0.00       
   308 N Wesley                 20- 9      11     9      -0.00   0.69       
   315 H Gwynedd-Mercy          15- 5      10     9      -0.98   1.00       
   319 H Lycoming               19- 5      14     9      -0.98   0.55       
   324 A Arcadia                21-10      11     6 +     0.98   3.98       
   326 A King's                 19- 8      11     8       0.98   1.02       
   330 H Messiah                10-19      -9    -9      -0.98   1.00       
   402 H Wilkes                 16- 3      13    17      -0.98   0.00       
   406 A Elizabethtown           8-21     -13    -9       0.98  -0.76       
   409 H Misericordia           17- 7      10    15      -0.98   0.00       
   413 H Gettysburg              1-18     -17   -13      -0.98   0.00       
   416 A Manhattanville         14-15 3o   -1     4 --    0.98  -5.58       
   421 H FDU-Florham             9-10      -1     0      -0.98  -0.42       
   426 H Eastern                22-16       6     2 +    -0.98   3.37       
   429 A Widener                11-12      -1     4 --    0.98  -5.39       
   503 H Lebanon Valley         19- 6      13     5 ++   -0.98   4.29       
   505 A Messiah                 5-23     -18   -11       0.98   0.00       
   511 H Washington & Jefferson 10-12      -2     1 -    -0.98  -3.99       


   10 Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score        
   307 N Mount Saint Mary       18- 2   
   308 N Wesley                 20- 9   
   315 A Gwynedd-Mercy          15- 5   
   319 A Lycoming               19- 5   
   324 H Arcadia                21-10   
   326 H King's                 19- 8   
   402 A Wilkes                 16- 3   
   406 H Elizabethtown           8-21   
   409 A Misericordia           17- 7   
   413 A Gettysburg              1-18   
   503 A Lebanon Valley         19- 6   
   505 H Messiah                 5-23   

    10  goal correction =  0.26199812

 LOCAL RATING

 Local TSI Rating...........233.80   Local TSI Rank.............    73
 Local Poll Vote............    0.   Local Poll Rank............    26
 Local Power Rating......... 73.07   Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating........... 69.70   Local SOS Rank.............    89
 Local RPI Rating...........  0.53   Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Local Trend Rating.........  3.00   Local Trend Rank...........    87
 Local Quality Win Rating...  0.00   Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
 Local W-L Pct Rating....... 57.89   Local W-L Pct Rank.........    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 11- 8   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  0- 1   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  0- 1   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  0- 4   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  1- 2   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3