Ursinus 12 - 6
Conf = Centennial Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Bears Coach = Erin Fitzgerald

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      Corr  
                                                          10
 306 A Washington College     Centennial    ( 7-10, 69.3)    14- 4      0.00
 308 H Stevens                Skyline       ( 5-11, 66.2)     8- 5      0.00
 314 N Wheaton                NEWMAC        ( 9- 7, 72.0)    14- 4      0.00
 316 N Messiah                Middle Atlant (15- 6, 78.1)    11- 5      0.00
 322 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (15- 2, 89.9)  4  4-13      0.00
 325 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 1, 88.0)  1  6-18      0.00
 330 A Cabrini                Penn. (PAC)   (12- 7, 72.3)    15-11      0.00
 401 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 7- 8, 74.7)    11- 9  o   0.00
 404 A Salisbury              Capital       (17- 2, 89.3)  3  2-17      0.00
 406 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 7-10, 66.3)    11- 7      0.00
 408 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (15- 5, 84.4)  8  2-15      0.00
 411 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    (10- 6, 73.9)    11-10      0.00
 415 H Dickinson              Centennial    (13- 5, 81.6) 13 12-19      0.00
 418 A Bryn Mawr              Centennial    ( 5-13, 61.5)    17- 6      0.00
 420 A Frostburg State        Independent   ( 6-11, 71.4)    15- 8      0.00
 422 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (14- 5, 74.4)    17- 9      0.00
 426 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (14- 5, 74.4)    12- 9      0.00
 429 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 1, 88.0)  1  9-19      0.00
                                                                       -----
                                                                        0.00

                                                                                

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   306 A Washington College     14- 4      10     6 +     1.19   3.16       
   308 H Stevens                 8- 5       3    12 ---  -1.19  -7.00       
   314 N Wheaton                14- 4      10     5 ++   -0.00   4.66       
   316 N Messiah                11- 5       6     0 +++  -0.00   6.72       
   322 A College of New Jersey   4-13      -9   -13       1.19   1.00       
   325 A Gettysburg              6-18     -12   -11       1.19   0.00       
   330 A Cabrini                15-11       4     3       1.19   0.16       
   401 H McDaniel               11- 9  o    2     3      -1.19  -1.82       
   404 A Salisbury               2-17     -15   -13       1.19   0.00       
   406 H Haverford              11- 7       4    12 ---  -1.19  -6.00       
   408 H Franklin & Marshall     2-15     -13    -5 --   -1.19  -4.15       
   411 A Muhlenberg             11-10       1     2       1.19  -1.29       
   415 H Dickinson              12-19      -7    -3 -    -1.19  -3.93       
   418 A Bryn Mawr              17- 6      11    14       1.19   0.00       
   420 A Frostburg State        15- 8       7     4 +     1.19   2.26       
   422 H Swarthmore             17- 9       8     4 +    -1.19   3.86       
   426 H Swarthmore             12- 9       3     4      -1.19  -1.14       
   429 A Gettysburg              9-19     -10   -11       1.19   0.00       


   10 Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score        
   306 H Washington College     14- 4   
   314 N Wheaton                14- 4   
   325 H Gettysburg              6-18   
   404 H Salisbury               2-17   
   408 A Franklin & Marshall     2-15   
   418 H Bryn Mawr              17- 6   
   429 H Gettysburg              9-19   

    10  goal correction =  0.48648125

 LOCAL RATING

 Local TSI Rating........... 60.20   Local TSI Rank.............    15
 Local Poll Vote............    0.   Local Poll Rank............   137
 Local Power Rating......... 77.35   Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating........... 76.43   Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating...........  0.64   Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Local Trend Rating.........  1.00   Local Trend Rank...........    23
 Local Quality Win Rating...  0.00   Local Quality Win Rank.....   137
 Local W-L Pct Rating....... 66.67   Local W-L Pct Rank.........    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 12- 6   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  0- 4   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  0- 5   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  0- 6   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  2- 1   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3