Automatic Qualifier and At-Large Probabilities

 Complete List of At-Large predictions below.
 The past four years predictions were 34 out of 36 or 94%.
                         

Probability of receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an twelve-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with six teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Mercyhurst 100.00 1 1 4 1 15 2 2 0 0 5 0 0 2 Saint Anselm 100.00 1 1 5 1 16 15 2 0 0 3 0 0 3 Seton Hill 79.77 1 1 7 1 33 19 5 0 0 6 0 0 4 Le Moyne 74.84 1 1 12 1 41 7 4 0 0 4 0 0 5 NYIT 67.45 21 13 9 20 12 1 4 2 0 4 2 0 6 Saint Rose 61.57 17 1 14 33 24 12 2 0 0 3 1 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Adelphi 58.18 45 1 19 33 2 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 8 Wilmington (DE) 58.18 1 1 20 1 48 31 3 0 0 5 0 0 9 Mercy 0.00 14 11 18 14 35 10 5 1 0 5 1 0 10 Roberts Wesleyan 0.00 27 14 29 33 30 9 4 3 0 4 3 0 11 Georgian Court 0.00 40 15 25 33 17 13 4 4 0 4 5 0 12 Pace 0.00 31 15 34 33 28 5 1 1 0 1 1 0 13 Franklin Pierce 0.00 1 1 40 33 72 11 2 0 0 2 0 0 14 Chestnut Hill 0.00 14 11 35 33 58 21 5 1 0 5 1 0 15 Caldwell 0.00 31 15 39 33 42 20 1 1 0 1 1 0 16 Assumption 0.00 31 1 46 33 53 27 2 0 0 2 2 0 17 Bentley 0.00 67 26 33 33 1 18 0 3 0 0 3 0 18 Lake Erie 0.00 67 26 44 33 14 3 0 3 0 0 6 0 19 Saint Michael's 0.00 45 18 45 33 38 23 1 2 0 1 2 0 20 Walsh 0.00 58 1 59 33 50 14 1 0 0 1 3 0 21 St. Thomas Aquinas 0.00 45 18 54 33 51 17 2 4 0 2 4 0 22 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 67 26 51 33 19 26 0 2 0 0 5 0 23 U. of DC 0.00 45 23 62 33 56 25 2 6 0 3 6 0 24 Davis & Elkins 0.00 67 26 61 33 32 30 0 3 0 0 7 0 25 Dominican 0.00 45 18 69 33 71 6 2 4 0 2 4 0 26 Davenport 0.00 60 26 60 33 46 22 0 1 0 1 5 0 27 American Intl. 0.00 45 18 66 33 69 24 2 4 0 2 4 0 28 Post 0.00 62 25 64 33 52 8 1 5 0 1 6 0 29 SNHU 0.00 45 18 68 33 70 29 1 2 0 1 2 0 30 Felician 0.00 60 26 70 33 68 16 0 4 0 1 5 0 31 Molloy 0.00 62 24 56 33 39 28 1 4 0 1 6 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Belmont Abbey 100.00 1 1 2 1 5 4 7 0 0 7 0 0 2 Tampa 100.00 1 1 1 1 3 16 5 0 0 7 0 0 3 Lenoir-Rhyne 84.48 12 6 3 9 6 24 4 1 0 6 1 0 4 Rockhurst 75.92 12 6 8 10 20 3 4 1 0 6 1 0 5 Queens 71.23 19 11 6 12 9 9 5 2 0 5 2 0 6 Mount Olive 56.73 27 12 10 12 8 28 4 2 0 4 3 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Limestone 56.27 16 6 11 10 25 31 4 1 0 4 1 0 8 Saint Leo 55.37 26 17 13 14 11 12 2 2 0 3 2 0 9 Wingate 0.00 21 6 17 14 21 25 4 1 0 4 2 0 10 Lindenwood 0.00 1 1 21 33 49 19 5 0 0 5 0 0 11 Colorado Mesa 0.00 1 1 23 1 55 38 6 0 0 7 0 0 12 Florida Southern 0.00 41 22 16 30 4 1 2 3 0 3 4 0 13 Rollins 0.00 31 26 15 20 7 20 1 2 0 2 2 0 14 Young Harris 0.00 31 17 24 25 18 11 3 3 0 3 3 0 15 Coker 0.00 17 10 28 14 44 17 6 2 0 6 2 0 16 Frostburg State 0.00 1 1 27 33 59 27 1 0 0 5 0 0 17 UAH 0.00 21 13 31 14 34 29 3 2 0 4 2 0 18 North Greenville 0.00 30 16 30 19 29 10 5 4 0 5 4 0 19 Catawba 0.00 31 22 26 25 22 8 2 3 0 3 3 0 20 Indianapolis 0.00 43 26 22 25 10 7 1 2 0 2 3 0 21 Maryville 0.00 45 26 36 25 23 5 2 4 0 2 4 0 22 Westminster (UT) 0.00 31 17 38 33 40 21 4 4 0 4 4 0 23 Lynn 0.00 45 26 37 30 27 13 2 4 0 2 4 0 24 Montevallo 0.00 41 21 41 20 37 23 3 4 0 3 4 0 25 Florida Tech 0.00 55 26 32 32 13 30 2 4 0 2 5 0 26 Tusculum 0.00 27 15 50 20 60 22 4 3 0 4 3 0 27 Lander 0.00 21 13 47 33 63 41 3 2 0 4 2 0 28 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 45 33 43 25 36 14 1 4 0 2 4 0 29 Newberry 0.00 31 22 52 20 57 33 2 3 0 3 3 0 30 CSU Pueblo 0.00 58 36 42 33 26 15 0 3 0 1 3 0 31 Palm Beach Atl. 0.00 31 17 57 33 64 37 3 3 0 3 3 0 32 Chowan 0.00 25 26 53 33 62 39 1 2 0 5 3 0 33 Mars Hill 0.00 44 25 55 33 54 18 3 5 0 3 5 0 34 Embry-Riddle 0.00 55 36 49 33 31 26 0 5 0 2 5 0 35 Lewis 0.00 19 36 48 33 65 35 0 1 0 5 2 0 36 Lees-McRae 0.00 62 35 58 33 43 6 1 6 0 1 6 0 37 Barton 0.00 62 33 63 33 45 32 1 4 0 1 6 0 38 Emmanuel (GA) 0.00 55 32 67 33 66 2 2 5 0 2 5 0 39 Adams State 0.00 67 36 65 33 47 35 0 2 0 0 4 0 40 Quincy 0.00 67 36 72 33 67 34 0 3 0 0 5 0 41 Shorter 0.00 66 36 71 33 61 40 0 6 0 1 7 0