Automatic Qualifier and At-Large Probabilities

 Complete List of At-Large predictions below.
 The past four years predictions were 34 out of 36 or 94%.
 
 Your browser does not support the HTML5 canvas tag. 
 
 
 

Probability of receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an twelve-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with six teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOURN SEL RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL PROB W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T' W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Seton Hill 99.30 5 8 14 1 3 15 6 4 0 6 0 0 2 Le Moyne 89.70 3 1 5 4 35 7 11 3 0 4 0 0 3 Saint Anselm 85.40 4 2 2 11 23 14 8 3 0 2 0 0 4 Mercyhurst 83.70 5 3 16 19 59 16 7 3 0 5 0 0 5 NYIT 74.40 53 23 35 44 12 1 6 10 0 4 2 0 6 Adelphi 71.40 26 4 17 36 22 13 8 4 0 1 2 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Pace 64.70 15 6 12 15 30 3 9 5 0 1 1 0 8 Saint Rose 60.60 26 11 18 27 26 5 7 5 0 3 1 0 9 Wilmington (DE) 60.60 39 24 58 34 25 21 4 7 0 5 0 0 10 Mercy 60.00 29 14 22 19 42 11 8 7 0 4 1 0 11 Franklin Pierce 46.80 59 25 55 52 38 2 4 9 0 2 0 0 12 Chestnut Hill 34.80 29 12 31 31 53 27 8 6 0 4 1 0 13 Assumption 34.20 42 19 38 36 49 22 6 7 0 2 0 0 14 Walsh 31.10 54 12 60 57 5 30 4 3 0 1 3 0 15 Saint Michael's 25.10 34 14 21 31 31 6 8 7 0 0 2 0 16 Georgian Court 24.40 29 8 23 26 43 9 9 6 0 4 4 0 17 Lake Erie 19.70 52 21 49 5 3 17 4 5 0 0 5 0 18 Bentley 19.00 10 4 10 11 33 4 8 4 0 0 2 0 19 Roberts Wesleyan 12.50 29 14 30 15 52 18 8 7 0 3 3 0 20 Alderson Broaddus 12.20 66 27 67 62 8 25 2 6 0 0 4 0 21 SNHU 11.00 59 25 50 52 29 8 4 9 0 1 2 0 22 St. Thomas Aquinas 9.10 34 19 45 36 67 20 6 7 0 2 4 0 23 Molloy 5.70 49 17 37 46 34 12 6 6 0 1 5 0 24 Caldwell 4.00 17 7 43 11 69 24 8 5 0 1 1 0 25 Dominican 3.80 20 8 36 7 61 19 9 6 0 2 3 0 26 American Intl. 0.70 70 30 65 60 44 10 3 12 0 2 4 0 27 Davis & Elkins 0.10 54 21 63 65 58 28 4 5 0 0 6 0 28 Felician 0.00 39 17 56 28 66 29 6 6 0 1 5 0 29 Post 0.00 68 28 71 52 64 23 3 10 0 0 6 0 30 U. of DC 0.00 65 28 69 57 63 26 3 10 0 3 5 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOURN SEL RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL PROB W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T' W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Colorado Mesa 99.50 1 2 4 2 7 39 11 1 0 7 0 0 2 Belmont Abbey 99.20 2 3 1 2 32 3 12 3 0 6 0 0 3 Tampa 98.50 16 15 7 10 11 2 8 6 0 6 0 0 4 Lenoir-Rhyne 95.10 20 11 15 15 24 9 8 5 0 5 1 0 5 Limestone 83.30 34 15 26 36 39 19 8 6 0 4 1 0 6 Lindenwood 82.10 17 8 25 36 60 36 8 4 0 5 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Queens 75.00 9 7 9 15 36 13 11 5 0 5 2 0 8 Wingate 74.70 10 5 8 19 17 37 10 4 0 4 2 0 9 Mount Olive 66.10 5 4 3 7 18 26 11 3 0 4 2 0 10 Rockhurst 65.10 10 10 27 47 9 11 7 4 0 5 1 0 11 Indianapolis 55.70 59 32 41 66 14 4 3 7 0 2 2 0 12 Frostburg State 50.40 10 1 19 34 50 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 13 Rollins 49.40 17 14 13 28 20 5 7 5 0 2 2 0 14 Chowan 47.40 54 41 68 70 2 24 1 9 0 5 3 0 15 Florida Southern 46.20 10 8 6 7 13 25 8 4 0 3 3 0 16 Coker 44.90 20 12 24 47 51 14 9 6 0 6 2 0 17 Lewis 41.30 45 40 61 64 21 15 1 6 0 3 2 0 18 Saint Leo 39.00 24 18 20 19 37 27 6 5 0 3 2 0 19 Florida Tech 31.70 49 26 32 43 15 10 6 8 0 2 4 0 20 UAH 30.70 43 29 64 31 70 32 4 6 0 3 2 0 21 CSU Pueblo 21.00 33 22 28 19 27 17 5 5 0 1 2 0 22 Lincoln Memorial 20.40 49 30 47 52 10 28 5 9 0 2 4 0 23 North Greenville 19.30 38 21 34 36 47 8 9 8 0 4 4 0 24 Catawba 18.80 62 36 46 68 16 16 3 10 0 2 3 0 25 Lynn 16.70 62 33 48 66 19 1 4 10 0 2 4 0 26 Quincy 13.60 48 25 57 62 27 34 4 5 0 0 3 0 27 Westminster (UT) 12.50 43 24 39 44 46 30 6 7 0 3 4 0 28 Young Harris 12.20 39 22 33 47 41 33 3 3 0 3 3 0 29 Maryville 12.10 45 26 51 11 56 31 6 8 0 2 4 0 30 Embry-Riddle 8.10 54 36 52 57 6 6 3 10 0 2 5 0 31 Newberry 7.10 5 5 11 5 45 29 10 4 0 3 3 0 32 Tusculum 6.50 34 20 42 19 62 20 8 7 0 3 3 0 33 Adams State 4.90 71 39 59 70 1 40 1 5 0 0 4 0 34 Mars Hill 3.00 54 31 54 60 40 18 5 10 0 3 4 0 35 Emmanuel (GA) 1.50 26 15 29 19 54 23 8 6 0 2 4 0 36 Lander 0.90 24 18 44 47 68 38 6 5 0 4 2 0 37 Palm Beach Atl. 0.90 45 26 53 28 57 21 6 8 0 2 3 0 38 Barton 0.50 66 35 66 52 55 22 3 8 0 1 6 0 39 Montevallo 0.50 20 12 40 47 65 35 9 6 0 3 4 0 40 Shorter 0.20 68 38 70 36 71 41 2 9 0 1 7 0 41 Lees-McRae 0.00 62 33 62 68 48 12 4 10 0 1 6 0