Predictions for the past three years was 32 outof 36 or 88.8%.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Women s Division II Championship Tournament

The format for the NCAA Division II Women s Lacrosse Championship is a sixteen-team, single-elimination tournament. Teams must play a minimum of 10 games in-region and have at least a .500 record, and regular-season games tied after regulation must be decided in overtime. Each region (North and South) will have six teams, and teams will be paired within region. The prediction is based on the rankings of region record, division record, record against teams with a 50% winning record and sos in-region. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] In-region Division II won-lost results [2] Overall division II won-lost results [3] Strength of schedule in-region [-] Division II Head-to-head competition [-] Results vs. common opponents [4] Results vs. teams with records above .500 [-] Performance indicator (not defined by NCAA) Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. EAST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Adelphi 56.39 2 6 3 31 10 1 0 14 1 0 2 Le Moyne 55.78 1 1 1 42 10 0 0 15 0 0 3 Mercy 52.50 5 18 13 16 8 3 0 12 4 0 4 LIU Post 50.46 4 16 14 25 10 2 0 10 3 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 NYIT 49.30 3 13 14 34 6 1 0 12 3 0 6 Assumption 47.87 6 20 18 23 8 4 0 11 4 0 7 Bentley 47.02 6 25 16 22 8 4 0 9 4 0 8 New Haven 40.68 8 23 24 37 7 4 0 10 4 0 9 Pace 0.00 9 40 35 7 5 5 0 9 6 0 10 Roberts Wslyn 0.00 12 20 24 60 3 4 0 11 4 0 11 Molloy 0.00 10 37 33 49 5 6 0 10 6 0 12 Stonehill 0.00 14 59 46 28 5 8 0 7 8 0 13 Merrimack 0.00 10 54 50 57 5 6 0 7 7 0 14 St Anselm 0.00 13 54 56 55 4 6 0 7 7 0 15 S Connecticut 0.00 19 102 68 19 1 11 0 2 13 0 16 Franklin Pierce 0.00 17 64 56 82 2 8 0 6 8 0 17 Thomas Aquinas 0.00 16 54 68 90 2 7 0 8 8 0 18 St Michael's 0.00 15 91 64 62 3 8 0 3 10 0 19 Dist Columbia 0.00 20 107 68 74 0 7 0 0 13 0 20 Queens NY 0.00 18 103 68 99 1 8 0 2 14 0 ATLANTIC Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 West Chester 71.23 1 10 10 15 10 1 0 13 2 0 2 E Stroudsburg 61.35 2 18 21 20 11 2 0 12 4 0 3 Mercyhurst 58.18 7 26 21 14 7 3 0 10 5 0 4 Georgian Court 45.51 4 20 31 53 10 3 0 11 4 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Bloomsburg 44.87 6 26 29 47 10 4 0 10 5 0 6 Indiana PA 40.83 7 33 31 48 7 3 0 9 5 0 7 Millersville 39.32 9 40 24 50 8 5 0 9 6 0 8 Seton Hill 38.72 5 40 50 30 9 3 0 9 6 0 9 Slippery Rock 0.00 14 72 35 26 4 6 0 5 8 0 10 T Jefferson 0.00 3 26 54 85 7 2 0 8 4 0 11 Shippensburg 0.00 17 82 46 29 3 9 0 4 10 0 12 Wilmington DE 0.00 11 51 68 76 5 5 0 8 7 0 13 Chestnut Hill 0.00 14 76 56 72 4 6 0 4 7 0 14 Kutztown 0.00 11 68 68 77 6 6 0 6 9 0 15 Lock Haven 0.00 19 94 68 36 2 10 0 3 12 0 16 Edinboro 0.00 18 94 67 44 2 8 0 3 12 0 17 Gannon 0.00 22 100 66 61 0 10 0 2 12 0 18 Dominican NY 0.00 10 76 68 104 4 3 0 4 7 0 19 Nyack 0.00 13 78 68 98 3 4 0 5 9 0 20 Caldwell 0.00 16 91 68 84 2 5 0 3 10 0 21 Felician 0.00 22 107 68 89 0 6 0 0 10 0 22 Post 0.00 20 97 68 105 1 6 0 2 11 0 23 Holy Family 0.00 20 100 68 103 1 6 0 2 12 0 SOUTH Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 FL Southern 57.20 2 7 7 4 10 1 0 15 2 0 2 Queens NC 54.36 4 7 8 10 13 2 0 15 2 0 3 Tampa 54.08 5 13 10 1 10 2 0 12 3 0 4 Rollins 53.80 1 4 3 24 11 1 0 15 1 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 St Leo 49.40 7 17 12 9 9 4 0 13 4 0 6 Limestone 48.32 3 7 9 32 14 2 0 15 2 0 7 Lenoir Rhyne 42.04 9 26 18 17 9 5 0 10 5 0 8 Mt Olive 40.78 8 26 29 13 10 5 0 10 5 0 9 Lincoln Mem 0.00 10 26 33 45 7 4 0 10 5 0 10 Embry-Riddle FL 0.00 16 51 40 6 7 7 0 8 7 0 11 Belmont Abbey 0.00 13 47 40 21 9 7 0 10 7 0 12 Wingate 0.00 14 54 40 18 8 7 0 8 8 0 13 Young Harris 0.00 12 40 43 38 8 6 0 9 6 0 14 Catawba 0.00 16 59 46 8 7 7 0 7 8 0 15 Florida Tech 0.00 21 59 46 2 4 7 0 7 8 0 16 AL Huntsville 0.00 6 12 50 97 9 3 0 15 3 0 17 North Greenville 0.00 14 51 56 65 8 7 0 8 7 0 18 Barton 0.00 11 37 56 96 7 5 0 10 6 0 19 Palm Beach Atl 0.00 28 68 68 51 2 7 0 6 9 0 20 Montevallo 0.00 18 59 68 88 5 6 0 7 8 0 21 Mars Hill 0.00 20 79 68 66 4 6 0 5 10 0 22 Coker 0.00 19 67 68 87 5 7 0 5 7 0 23 Tusculum 0.00 25 86 68 58 4 9 0 4 11 0 24 Shorter 0.00 21 72 68 91 4 7 0 5 8 0 25 Newberry 0.00 29 96 68 63 3 12 0 3 14 0 26 Lee TN 0.00 27 93 68 71 3 10 0 3 11 0 27 Converse 0.00 23 79 68 101 4 8 0 4 8 0 28 Erskine 0.00 26 86 68 95 4 11 0 4 11 0 29 S Wesleyan 0.00 23 86 68 110 4 8 0 4 11 0 30 Chowan 0.00 31 105 68 86 1 12 0 1 12 0 31 Lees-McRae 0.00 30 104 68 92 1 9 0 1 10 0 32 Emmanuel GA 0.00 32 107 68 107 0 10 0 0 10 0 MIDWEST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Regis CO 78.08 1 1 1 11 13 0 0 15 0 0 2 Indianapolis 65.50 1 3 5 39 15 0 0 17 1 0 3 Lindenwood 63.72 3 4 5 40 14 1 0 15 1 0 4 Mesa St 54.77 4 11 18 43 12 2 0 12 2 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Grand Valley St 53.44 7 15 16 41 9 3 0 11 3 0 6 Tiffin 49.52 10 40 23 12 8 3 0 9 6 0 7 Rockhurst 34.99 10 40 56 27 8 3 0 9 6 0 8 Findlay 0.00 16 68 39 5 5 6 0 6 9 0 9 UVA-Wise 0.00 5 33 43 56 7 2 0 9 5 0 10 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 7 33 24 73 9 3 0 9 5 0 11 McKendree 0.00 13 40 50 35 8 6 0 9 6 0 12 Shepherd 0.00 5 33 35 78 7 2 0 9 5 0 13 Walsh 0.00 7 39 24 94 6 2 0 8 5 0 14 Lake Erie 0.00 14 50 43 70 6 5 0 7 6 0 15 Davenport 0.00 12 48 68 68 6 4 0 8 6 0 16 Maryville MO 0.00 28 99 68 3 4 21 0 4 23 0 17 Davis & Elkins 0.00 17 24 68 108 3 4 0 12 5 0 18 CSU-Pueblo 0.00 23 81 56 46 3 7 0 4 9 0 19 Westminster UT 0.00 20 85 68 33 3 6 0 3 8 0 20 Notre Dame OH 0.00 17 64 56 83 6 8 0 6 8 0 21 Ashland 0.00 19 68 68 75 5 7 0 6 9 0 22 N Michigan 0.00 20 75 68 67 4 8 0 6 10 0 23 Charleston WV 0.00 25 82 68 54 3 9 0 4 10 0 24 American Intl 0.00 31 86 68 52 0 0 0 4 11 0 25 Col Springs 0.00 15 63 68 106 5 5 0 7 9 0 26 WV Wesleyan 0.00 27 66 64 100 2 10 0 8 11 0 27 Ohio Valley 0.00 29 54 68 109 1 6 0 7 7 0 28 Lewis 0.00 26 97 68 64 2 9 0 2 11 0 29 Ft Lewis 0.00 20 82 68 93 2 4 0 2 5 0 30 Ursuline 0.00 24 90 68 79 2 5 0 4 12 0 31 OK Baptist 0.00 30 72 68 102 1 8 0 5 8 0 32 Adams St 0.00 31 107 68 69 0 10 0 0 11 0 33 Ald-Broaddus 0.00 31 105 68 81 0 10 0 1 12 0