Predictions for the past three years was 32 outof 36 or 88.8%.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Women s Division II Championship Tournament

The format for the NCAA Division II Women s Lacrosse Championship is a sixteen-team, single-elimination tournament. Teams must play a minimum of 10 games in-region and have at least a .500 record, and regular-season games tied after regulation must be decided in overtime. Each region (North and South) will have six teams, and teams will be paired within region. The prediction is based on the rankings of region record, division record, record against teams with a 50% winning record and sos in-region. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] In-region Division II won-lost results [2] Overall division II won-lost results [3] Strength of schedule in-region [-] Division II Head-to-head competition [-] Results vs. common opponents [4] Results vs. teams with records above .500 [-] Performance indicator (not defined by NCAA) Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. EAST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 LIU Post 60.93 2 13 10 6 13 2 0 14 3 0 2 Le Moyne 59.60 1 2 2 33 12 1 0 17 1 0 3 Mercy 49.36 3 13 11 40 10 2 0 14 3 0 4 NYIT 48.13 6 22 20 21 6 3 0 12 5 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Pace 47.22 8 27 27 8 7 5 0 11 6 0 6 Adelphi 46.31 5 13 15 44 9 3 0 14 3 0 7 Assumption 44.52 4 13 13 53 11 3 0 14 3 0 8 Bentley 43.93 9 34 27 10 8 6 0 10 6 0 9 Roberts Wslyn 0.00 13 23 34 38 3 5 0 11 5 0 10 Merrimack 0.00 7 27 20 58 9 5 0 11 6 0 11 New Haven 0.00 10 40 37 27 7 7 0 10 7 0 12 Molloy 0.00 12 27 38 42 5 6 0 11 6 0 13 St Anselm 0.00 14 61 51 23 4 8 0 7 9 0 14 Stonehill 0.00 11 52 50 49 7 8 0 9 8 0 15 S Connecticut 0.00 19 101 62 15 1 13 0 2 15 0 16 Thomas Aquinas 0.00 16 57 62 77 2 8 0 8 9 0 17 Franklin Pierce 0.00 17 70 62 70 2 10 0 6 10 0 18 St Michael's 0.00 15 95 62 62 3 10 0 3 12 0 19 Dist Columbia 0.00 20 107 62 68 0 7 0 0 13 0 20 Queens NY 0.00 18 101 62 99 1 8 0 2 15 0 ATLANTIC Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 West Chester 68.56 2 6 8 12 12 1 0 15 2 0 2 E Stroudsburg 62.03 1 13 15 16 13 1 0 14 3 0 3 Seton Hill 51.38 4 27 27 14 11 3 0 11 6 0 4 Georgian Court 49.08 3 19 20 39 12 3 0 13 4 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Mercyhurst 48.43 7 27 25 22 8 4 0 11 6 0 6 Bloomsburg 45.23 6 27 27 31 11 5 0 11 6 0 7 Indiana PA 41.19 8 46 27 19 7 5 0 9 7 0 8 Millersville 34.11 11 52 27 32 8 7 0 9 8 0 9 Slippery Rock 0.00 14 61 38 26 5 7 0 7 9 0 10 T Jefferson 0.00 5 33 54 73 8 3 0 9 5 0 11 Wilmington DE 0.00 8 40 62 74 7 5 0 10 7 0 12 Shippensburg 0.00 17 82 46 36 4 10 0 5 11 0 13 Kutztown 0.00 13 61 60 76 6 7 0 7 9 0 14 Chestnut Hill 0.00 15 74 58 61 5 8 0 5 9 0 15 Lock Haven 0.00 19 93 62 34 3 11 0 4 13 0 16 Caldwell 0.00 12 70 62 80 5 5 0 6 10 0 17 Edinboro 0.00 21 99 62 35 2 10 0 3 14 0 18 Gannon 0.00 22 96 60 50 1 11 0 3 13 0 19 Nyack 0.00 16 82 62 81 3 6 0 5 11 0 20 Dominican NY 0.00 10 74 62 107 5 4 0 5 9 0 21 Post 0.00 18 87 62 101 2 7 0 4 12 0 22 Holy Family 0.00 20 96 62 109 2 8 0 3 13 0 23 Felician 0.00 23 107 62 102 0 9 0 0 12 0 SOUTH Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Tampa 61.59 1 4 3 1 11 0 0 13 1 0 2 FL Southern 58.81 2 6 6 4 10 1 0 15 2 0 3 Queens NC 56.08 4 6 7 9 13 2 0 15 2 0 4 Limestone 49.89 3 6 9 30 14 2 0 15 2 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 St Leo 49.31 7 19 13 7 9 4 0 13 4 0 6 Rollins 42.34 5 10 11 47 9 2 0 12 2 0 7 Lenoir Rhyne 41.26 8 23 18 25 10 5 0 11 5 0 8 Mt Olive 40.72 8 25 25 18 10 5 0 10 5 0 9 AL Huntsville 0.00 6 11 20 79 6 2 0 11 2 0 10 Lincoln Mem 0.00 10 25 34 46 7 4 0 10 5 0 11 Belmont Abbey 0.00 13 40 43 20 9 7 0 10 7 0 12 Embry-Riddle FL 0.00 15 50 43 5 7 7 0 8 7 0 13 Wingate 0.00 11 46 43 24 9 6 0 9 7 0 14 Florida Tech 0.00 22 58 46 2 4 7 0 7 8 0 15 Catawba 0.00 16 61 53 11 7 8 0 7 9 0 16 North Greenville 0.00 14 50 56 59 8 7 0 8 7 0 17 Young Harris 0.00 17 55 54 55 5 6 0 6 6 0 18 Barton 0.00 12 38 62 93 7 5 0 9 6 0 19 Palm Beach Atl 0.00 28 74 62 52 2 7 0 5 9 0 20 Mars Hill 0.00 19 77 62 66 4 6 0 5 10 0 21 Coker 0.00 20 68 62 82 5 8 0 5 8 0 22 Tusculum 0.00 26 87 62 56 4 10 0 4 12 0 23 Shorter 0.00 18 60 62 108 3 4 0 4 5 0 24 Montevallo 0.00 21 72 62 97 3 5 0 4 7 0 25 Newberry 0.00 29 99 62 63 3 12 0 3 14 0 26 Lee TN 0.00 23 84 62 90 3 6 0 3 7 0 27 Converse 0.00 23 77 62 103 4 8 0 4 8 0 28 Erskine 0.00 27 86 62 96 4 11 0 4 11 0 29 S Wesleyan 0.00 23 85 62 110 4 8 0 4 10 0 30 Lees-McRae 0.00 30 104 62 94 1 10 0 1 11 0 31 Chowan 0.00 32 105 62 92 1 12 0 1 12 0 32 Emmanuel GA 0.00 30 103 62 105 1 10 0 1 10 0 MIDWEST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOTAL W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Regis CO 72.31 1 1 1 13 12 0 0 14 0 0 2 Lindenwood 60.74 3 3 4 37 14 1 0 15 1 0 3 Indianapolis 55.59 1 5 5 51 10 0 0 12 1 0 4 Mesa St 51.25 4 11 17 41 11 2 0 11 2 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Grand Valley St 46.11 7 18 19 43 8 3 0 10 3 0 6 Tiffin 43.30 10 40 24 17 9 4 0 10 7 0 7 Findlay 38.48 12 52 38 3 8 5 0 9 8 0 8 Rockhurst 32.21 7 38 56 29 8 3 0 9 6 0 9 McKendree 0.00 14 44 34 54 6 5 0 7 5 0 10 UVA-Wise 0.00 11 48 48 45 5 3 0 7 6 0 11 Shepherd 0.00 5 44 27 83 5 1 0 7 5 0 12 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 7 36 38 87 8 3 0 8 5 0 13 Walsh 0.00 6 21 48 106 8 2 0 10 4 0 14 CSU-Pueblo 0.00 16 59 51 60 4 5 0 5 6 0 15 Westminster UT 0.00 19 77 62 28 4 6 0 4 8 0 16 Lake Erie 0.00 15 61 58 57 6 7 0 7 9 0 17 Davis & Elkins 0.00 16 34 62 88 4 5 0 10 6 0 18 Davenport 0.00 13 48 62 86 5 4 0 7 6 0 19 Col Springs 0.00 16 68 62 72 4 5 0 5 8 0 20 Charleston WV 0.00 20 72 62 69 3 6 0 4 7 0 21 N Michigan 0.00 22 77 62 67 3 7 0 4 8 0 22 American Intl 0.00 30 93 62 48 0 0 0 4 13 0 23 WV Wesleyan 0.00 25 67 62 100 2 6 0 5 7 0 24 Notre Dame OH 0.00 20 77 62 98 4 8 0 4 8 0 25 Ohio Valley 0.00 26 66 62 104 2 7 0 6 8 0 26 Ft Lewis 0.00 24 87 62 84 2 5 0 2 6 0 27 Ursuline 0.00 22 87 62 89 3 7 0 4 12 0 28 Maryville MO 0.00 28 98 62 71 2 8 0 2 9 0 29 Ashland 0.00 26 87 62 91 2 7 0 3 9 0 30 Adams St 0.00 30 107 62 65 0 10 0 0 11 0 31 OK Baptist 0.00 29 87 62 95 1 9 0 3 9 0 32 Lewis 0.00 30 107 62 75 0 7 0 0 9 0 33 Ald-Broaddus 0.00 30 106 62 78 0 12 0 1 14 0