Last years predictions were 8 out of 8 or 100%.
 The past three years predictions were 22 out of 24 or 91.6%.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an twelve-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with six teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Le Moyne 85.67 7 6 3 7 4 1 11 2 0 11 2 0 2 Adelphi 78.94 2 2 4 2 17 19 11 1 0 13 1 0 3 Merrimack 73.63 4 2 6 4 25 11 11 1 0 11 1 0 4 Seton Hill 66.89 12 4 12 15 18 14 9 1 0 10 3 0 5 Mercyhurst 64.19 16 5 9 18 13 24 7 1 0 9 3 0 6 LIU Post 63.42 10 7 14 8 28 6 10 2 0 10 2 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Bentley 59.65 17 9 15 21 16 15 8 3 0 8 3 0 8 Pace 54.16 12 8 21 21 31 12 10 3 0 10 3 0 9 Mercy 53.44 2 1 22 4 54 17 13 1 0 13 1 0 10 Roberts Wesleyan 0.00 29 13 27 43 29 9 5 5 0 6 5 0 11 Saint Anselm 0.00 40 15 28 43 19 8 5 6 0 5 6 0 12 Assumption 0.00 27 11 26 34 40 18 7 4 0 8 5 0 13 Molloy 0.00 38 14 35 38 35 10 6 7 0 6 7 0 14 Lake Erie 0.00 56 20 39 43 12 4 3 5 0 3 9 0 15 Chestnut Hill 0.00 21 10 36 28 59 20 8 4 0 8 4 0 16 So. New Hampshire 0.00 56 25 37 43 10 3 3 9 0 3 9 0 17 NYIT 0.00 63 28 29 42 1 7 2 9 0 2 12 0 18 Saint Rose 0.00 48 22 38 43 21 5 4 8 0 4 8 0 19 Franklin Pierce 0.00 40 15 43 43 44 13 5 6 0 5 6 0 20 Georgian Court 0.00 31 12 47 31 60 26 7 5 0 7 7 0 21 Walsh 0.00 56 18 49 40 39 29 3 4 0 3 9 0 22 American Intl. 0.00 68 30 60 43 26 2 0 14 0 0 14 0 23 Wilmington DE 0.00 31 18 62 43 68 31 3 4 0 6 6 0 24 St. Thomas Aquin 0.00 40 15 56 43 65 28 5 6 0 5 6 0 25 Saint Michael's 0.00 51 24 51 43 48 25 3 8 0 4 9 0 26 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 56 22 58 31 52 30 3 6 0 3 9 0 27 U. of DC 0.00 47 21 57 43 62 21 4 7 0 4 7 0 28 Dominican Coll. 0.00 56 25 64 43 64 22 3 9 0 3 9 0 29 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 65 30 63 43 57 16 0 6 0 1 11 0 30 Post 0.00 65 29 68 43 63 23 1 11 0 1 11 0 31 Davis & Elkins 0.00 62 25 67 43 70 32 2 6 0 2 8 0 32 Felician 0.00 68 30 70 43 69 27 0 8 0 0 11 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Belmont Abbey 93.01 6 3 2 6 2 1 13 2 0 13 2 0 2 Limestone 86.82 1 1 1 1 8 29 12 0 0 14 0 0 3 Queens U. Charl. 79.09 7 4 5 8 9 23 10 2 0 11 2 0 4 Catawba 72.45 18 11 8 15 3 8 7 4 0 9 4 0 5 Tampa 71.23 20 8 7 14 5 11 10 3 0 11 5 0 6 Mount Olive 70.82 7 4 11 8 27 5 10 2 0 11 2 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Indianapolis 63.68 4 2 10 3 34 32 7 1 0 11 1 0 8 Rollins 62.90 18 10 18 13 15 14 8 4 0 9 4 0 9 Wingate 0.00 12 4 13 15 22 31 10 2 0 10 3 0 10 Saint Leo 0.00 23 11 19 18 14 6 7 4 0 9 5 0 11 Lynn 0.00 12 9 16 12 23 26 8 3 0 10 3 0 12 Rockhurst 0.00 10 7 17 8 33 27 8 2 0 10 2 0 13 Florida Tech 0.00 26 14 20 24 11 13 6 4 0 7 4 0 14 Florida Southern 0.00 31 18 23 25 7 3 7 7 0 7 7 0 15 Lindenwood 0.00 23 11 24 20 24 16 7 4 0 9 5 0 16 Lenoir-Rhyne 0.00 38 21 25 25 6 2 5 6 0 6 7 0 17 Westminster UT 0.00 31 18 34 28 36 10 6 6 0 6 6 0 18 Young Harris 0.00 31 21 31 34 30 19 5 6 0 6 6 0 19 Colorado Mesa 0.00 30 17 33 23 42 17 6 5 0 7 6 0 20 North Greenville 0.00 43 25 30 43 20 4 5 8 0 6 8 0 21 Maryville 0.00 21 16 32 31 51 38 5 4 0 8 4 0 22 Tusculum 0.00 31 18 41 43 47 21 6 6 0 6 6 0 23 Newberry 0.00 23 15 42 28 61 30 7 5 0 9 5 0 24 Coker 0.00 44 24 40 43 37 15 5 7 0 5 7 0 25 Montevallo 0.00 46 25 45 27 43 12 5 8 0 5 8 0 26 Palm Beach Atlantic 0.00 45 25 44 43 41 28 5 8 0 6 9 0 27 Embry-Riddle 0.00 37 25 46 38 50 33 5 8 0 7 8 0 28 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 53 30 48 40 38 7 4 10 0 4 10 0 29 UAH 0.00 54 32 50 43 32 20 2 8 0 3 8 0 30 CSU Pueblo 0.00 28 23 55 43 66 36 3 4 0 6 4 0 31 Adams State 0.00 48 33 59 43 45 22 1 5 0 3 6 0 32 Lees-McRae 0.00 51 36 54 34 46 25 0 9 0 4 9 0 33 Barton 0.00 48 31 53 34 55 24 3 10 0 5 10 0 34 Emmanuel GA 0.00 55 29 52 43 49 35 4 9 0 4 11 0 35 Shorter 0.00 68 36 66 43 53 9 0 10 0 0 12 0 36 Mars Hill 0.00 61 33 61 43 56 34 2 10 0 3 11 0 37 Chowan 0.00 67 35 65 43 58 18 1 10 0 1 13 0 38 NDNU 0.00 64 36 69 43 67 37 0 9 0 1 9 0