Last years predictions were 8 out of 8 or 100%.
 The past three years predictions were 22 out of 24 or 91.6%.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an twelve-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with six teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Le Moyne 83.95 4 2 3 4 7 1 15 2 0 15 2 0 2 Adelphi 78.38 3 3 4 3 11 13 14 2 0 16 2 0 3 Merrimack 72.56 6 5 7 7 17 2 14 3 0 14 3 0 4 Mercy 67.29 2 1 10 2 34 5 17 1 0 17 1 0 5 Mercyhurst 66.55 8 4 11 13 14 23 11 2 0 13 4 0 6 Pace 64.34 8 7 13 10 23 4 13 4 0 13 4 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Seton Hill 62.53 16 6 12 19 10 18 11 3 0 12 5 0 8 LIU Post 58.60 17 8 17 19 19 3 11 5 0 11 5 0 9 Bentley 45.79 22 10 22 28 27 11 9 5 0 9 5 0 10 Saint Anselm 0.00 33 13 27 40 26 9 7 7 0 7 7 0 11 Assumption 0.00 30 12 31 40 35 20 7 6 0 8 7 0 12 Chestnut Hill 0.00 17 8 34 26 60 19 11 5 0 11 5 0 13 NYIT 0.00 56 22 29 44 4 16 5 10 0 5 13 0 14 Roberts Wesleyan 0.00 38 17 30 45 29 14 6 8 0 7 8 0 15 Molloy 0.00 38 15 36 36 38 10 7 8 0 7 8 0 16 Georgian Court 0.00 28 11 41 24 55 26 10 6 0 10 8 0 17 So. New Hampshire 0.00 51 24 37 45 20 7 4 10 0 4 10 0 18 Lake Erie 0.00 51 19 40 45 24 12 4 6 0 4 10 0 19 Saint Rose 0.00 47 21 39 45 31 8 5 9 0 5 9 0 20 Franklin Pierce 0.00 44 20 43 45 40 15 5 8 0 5 8 0 21 Wilmington DE 0.00 30 13 62 45 69 29 5 5 0 8 7 0 22 Walsh 0.00 51 16 51 40 49 31 4 5 0 4 10 0 23 Saint Michael's 0.00 57 26 49 45 36 25 3 10 0 4 11 0 24 American Intl. 0.00 68 31 60 45 32 6 0 16 0 0 16 0 25 St. Thomas Aquin 0.00 40 18 58 45 67 28 5 7 0 6 7 0 26 U. of DC 0.00 49 23 57 45 61 21 4 9 0 4 9 0 27 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 60 25 55 30 52 30 3 8 0 3 11 0 28 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 64 30 63 45 58 17 1 7 0 2 12 0 29 Dominican Coll. 0.00 61 28 65 45 63 22 3 12 0 3 12 0 30 Post 0.00 64 29 67 45 65 24 2 12 0 2 12 0 31 Davis & Elkins 0.00 63 27 68 45 68 32 2 7 0 2 9 0 32 Felician 0.00 68 31 70 45 70 27 0 10 0 0 13 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Limestone 92.16 1 1 1 1 3 5 16 0 0 18 0 0 2 Belmont Abbey 87.95 6 3 2 6 1 1 14 3 0 14 3 0 3 Tampa 81.36 11 3 5 8 2 7 14 3 0 15 5 0 4 Indianapolis 73.02 4 2 6 5 15 29 11 2 0 15 2 0 5 Wingate 71.08 8 5 8 9 13 18 13 3 0 13 4 0 6 Queens U. Charl. 70.69 15 7 9 12 6 12 12 5 0 13 5 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 Mount Olive 62.05 11 6 16 14 25 6 11 4 0 12 4 0 8 Rockhurst 61.69 13 8 15 14 18 15 9 4 0 11 4 0 9 Lynn 0.00 13 8 14 10 22 22 9 4 0 11 4 0 10 Saint Leo 0.00 25 13 18 17 8 8 8 6 0 10 7 0 11 Rollins 0.00 19 12 19 14 16 23 9 5 0 10 5 0 12 Florida Southern 0.00 30 18 20 25 5 2 8 7 0 8 7 0 13 Catawba 0.00 24 17 21 23 12 11 7 6 0 9 6 0 14 Lenoir-Rhyne 0.00 33 19 24 26 9 3 7 7 0 8 8 0 15 Lindenwood 0.00 19 10 23 19 30 19 8 4 0 10 5 0 16 Westminster UT 0.00 21 11 26 18 39 4 11 6 0 11 6 0 17 Florida Tech 0.00 26 16 25 28 21 21 6 5 0 7 5 0 18 Colorado Mesa 0.00 28 15 32 22 44 16 9 7 0 10 8 0 19 North Greenville 0.00 37 22 28 45 28 10 7 9 0 8 9 0 20 Tusculum 0.00 33 19 35 36 45 20 7 7 0 7 7 0 21 Maryville 0.00 27 21 33 30 48 33 5 6 0 8 6 0 22 Newberry 0.00 23 13 44 30 62 32 8 6 0 10 6 0 23 Young Harris 0.00 40 23 38 30 42 26 5 7 0 6 7 0 24 Montevallo 0.00 43 24 45 36 46 9 6 9 0 6 9 0 25 Coker 0.00 44 25 46 45 43 24 5 8 0 5 8 0 26 Palm Beach Atlantic 0.00 46 27 42 45 37 31 5 9 0 6 10 0 27 UAH 0.00 48 31 48 45 33 25 3 8 0 4 8 0 28 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 51 29 50 43 41 13 4 10 0 4 10 0 29 Embry-Riddle 0.00 42 27 47 36 50 34 5 9 0 7 9 0 30 CSU Pueblo 0.00 33 26 54 45 64 38 4 7 0 7 7 0 31 Barton 0.00 50 32 53 30 57 14 3 12 0 5 12 0 32 Lees-McRae 0.00 51 36 56 30 53 28 0 10 0 4 10 0 33 Emmanuel GA 0.00 58 29 52 45 51 37 4 10 0 4 12 0 34 Adams State 0.00 59 35 61 45 47 30 1 9 0 3 10 0 35 Mars Hill 0.00 61 34 59 45 54 35 2 11 0 3 12 0 36 Shorter 0.00 68 36 66 45 56 17 0 11 0 0 13 0 37 Chowan 0.00 66 33 64 45 59 27 2 10 0 2 13 0 38 NDNU 0.00 67 36 69 45 66 36 0 9 0 1 9 0