Last years predictions were 8 out of 8 or 100%.
 The past three years predictions were 22 out of 24 or 91.6%.
 
 
 

Probability for receiving an invitation to the NCAA Men s Division II Championship Tournament

The Division II Men s Lacrosse Championship consists of an eight-team, single-elimination tournament. Pairings are determined by regional alignments (North and South), with four teams being selected from each region. Teams must have a .500 or better record versus Division II opponents to be considered. There is no automatic qualification for the tournament. The prediction is based on the rankings of total record, in/region record, overall rpi, sos overall, sos in-region and record against teams with a winning record. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] Division II in region Won-loss record [2] Division II winning percentage [3] Division II strength of schedule [-] Division II head-to-head competition [-] Division II Common opponents Secondary Factors for Selecting Teams [4] Division II results vs teams with a winning record [5] In-region strength of schedule [6] In-region Ratings Percentage Index Probabilities are based on current data. As rankings and records change, so do the probabilities. NORTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Seton Hill 83.20 26 1 10 8 5 1 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 Mercyhurst 76.35 1 8 3 1 27 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 Mercy 74.17 1 1 27 11 21 18 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 Roberts Wesleyan 53.30 1 1 13 11 34 9 1 0 0 2 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Molloy 29.46 29 7 29 11 10 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 6 LIU Post 24.66 1 1 37 11 44 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 7 Merrimack 0.00 41 8 1 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 Franklin Pierce 0.00 41 8 16 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 Chestnut Hill 16.93 1 8 44 11 41 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 Alderson Broaddus 0.00 41 8 21 11 11 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 11 Bentley 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 Davis & Elkins 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 Dominican Coll. 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 Lake Erie 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 Pace 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 Saint Anselm 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 Saint Michael's 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 Saint Rose 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 St. Thomas Aquin 0.00 41 8 54 11 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Adelphi 0.00 1 1 44 11 54 14 1 0 0 1 0 0 21 Post 0.00 1 1 37 11 56 16 1 0 0 1 0 0 22 Walsh 0.00 41 8 15 11 23 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 23 Wheeling Jesuit 0.00 41 8 34 11 29 15 0 1 0 0 3 0 24 NYIT 0.00 41 8 49 11 36 8 0 0 0 0 2 0 25 Le Moyne 0.00 41 8 16 11 51 12 0 1 0 0 1 0 26 Assumption 0.00 41 8 54 11 52 11 0 1 0 0 1 0 27 S. New Hampshire 0.00 41 8 54 11 55 10 0 0 0 0 1 0 28 Felician 0.00 41 8 53 11 53 17 0 0 0 0 1 0 29 American Intl. 0.00 41 8 51 11 57 13 0 3 0 0 3 0 SOUTH RNK TEAMNAME TOT PROB RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK RNK REG TOTAL W-L W-L RPI W-L SOS SOS W L T W L T TOT REG TOT >.5 TOT REG [2] [1] [6] [4] [3] [5] 1 Belmont Abbey 100.45 1 1 12 1 6 1 3 0 0 3 0 0 2 Lindenwood 81.51 1 1 4 1 7 15 2 0 0 3 0 0 3 Limestone 79.60 1 1 5 1 4 24 3 0 0 3 0 0 4 Mount Olive 37.86 1 1 32 11 15 16 1 0 0 1 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Florida Tech 31.99 1 1 2 1 32 8 2 0 0 2 0 0 6 Indianapolis 31.09 1 24 9 1 2 23 0 0 0 2 0 0 7 Queens U. Charl. 24.57 1 1 41 11 25 10 1 0 0 2 0 0 8 Newberry 12.93 1 1 14 11 38 20 3 0 0 3 0 0 9 Young Harris 0.00 22 11 7 7 17 11 3 1 0 3 1 0 10 Palm Beach Atlantic 0.00 22 12 25 11 13 9 2 1 0 3 1 0 11 Saint Leo 0.00 26 12 20 11 9 20 2 1 0 2 1 0 12 Tampa 0.00 29 16 28 11 3 14 1 1 0 1 1 0 13 Lynn 0.00 1 24 37 11 18 32 0 0 0 1 0 0 14 Westminster UT 0.00 1 1 16 11 43 38 2 0 0 2 0 0 15 Embry-Riddle 0.00 22 12 19 11 28 7 2 1 0 3 1 0 16 Lenoir-Rhyne 0.00 41 24 10 11 1 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 17 Coker 0.00 29 16 8 11 22 13 1 1 0 1 1 0 18 Barton 0.00 36 24 31 11 8 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 19 Lincoln Memorial 0.00 29 16 21 11 20 17 2 2 0 2 2 0 20 Wingate 0.00 29 1 43 11 24 34 1 0 0 1 1 0 21 Rollins 0.00 1 24 54 11 35 19 0 0 0 1 0 0 22 Georgian Court 0.00 1 24 44 11 37 25 0 0 0 1 0 0 23 Montevallo 0.00 40 23 24 11 12 5 1 3 0 1 3 0 24 Rockhurst 0.00 1 24 54 11 42 18 0 0 0 1 0 0 25 Tusculum 0.00 26 12 23 11 33 29 2 1 0 2 1 0 26 Maryville 0.00 22 16 26 8 30 39 1 1 0 3 1 0 27 CSU Pueblo 0.00 41 24 54 11 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 Wilmington DE 0.00 41 24 54 11 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 Chowan 0.00 36 22 33 11 19 22 1 2 0 1 2 0 30 Adams State 0.00 1 24 54 11 45 35 0 0 0 1 0 0 31 Florida Southern 0.00 41 24 52 11 16 11 0 1 0 0 1 0 32 Emmanuel GA 0.00 29 1 37 11 46 33 1 0 0 1 1 0 33 Catawba 0.00 41 24 42 11 14 26 0 2 0 0 2 0 34 Mars Hill 0.00 36 16 36 11 31 31 1 1 0 1 2 0 35 North Greenville 0.00 41 24 50 11 26 4 0 3 0 0 3 0 36 Colorado Mesa 0.00 29 16 6 8 50 37 1 1 0 1 1 0 37 Lees-McRae 0.00 36 24 48 11 47 6 0 2 0 1 2 0 38 UAH 0.00 41 24 29 11 39 27 0 3 0 0 3 0 39 Shorter 0.00 41 24 47 11 40 27 0 4 0 0 4 0 40 NDNU 0.00 41 24 34 11 49 30 0 3 0 0 3 0 41 U. of DC 0.00 41 24 54 11 48 36 0 0 0 0 1 0